How accurate have Ed Zitron's AI skeptic predictions been?

Opening excerpt

I was curious how well the predictions of the most widely cited AI skeptic I’ve seen (Ed Zitron) have done, so I looked at how his predictions panned out. To disclose my own biases, I’ve never had a particularly strong pro or anti AI progress position. For example, in 2022, I did a comprehensive look at predictions Futurists made, including well-respected folks like Kurzweil and found them to be generally wrong on both the prediction results as well as the reasoning. On the flip side, in 2015, I wrote about how people were underestimating AI’s ability to displace humans in jobs and have repeatedly been on the record as saying that many people are underestimating AI’s ability to displace humans from jobs. My position on AI has been extremely boring and is basically, “if something is currently happening, the people who are saying that it’s impossible that it will ever happen are probably wrong”.

One comment I’ve seen from a lot of AI skeptics when someone responds to an AI skeptic is that all of the people who are saying that AI isn’t fake are self-interested liars.

(Excerpted from the original; full article via the source link below.)

This story hit the Hacker News front page today (189 points / 217 comments, via danluu.com). Our Tech Radar aggregates daily signals on AI engineering, backend architecture and DevOps — browse the related services and further reading below, or get in touch with our team.